Ogles got beaten handily in Tennessee's Republican primary, losing 46-53 to Charlie Hatcher, the state’s former agricultural commissioner. In part, it seems that Republican redistricting efforts backfired on him. In Tennessee, the GOP has been redrawing the voting maps to eliminate the only Democratic-leaning district, splitting majority-Black Memphis across three new jurisdictions. Thousands of the citizens of Memphis got shunted into Ogles’ new district, and according to one estimate, 82 percent of his constituents in the redrawn TN-5 had never been represented by him before, severely weakening his incumbency advantage. It seems that, even as Republicans voting in a GOP primary, Tennesseeans concluded that Ogles’ history of homophobia, religious bigotry, and red-baiting wasn’t serving their interests. (And the representative’s questionable statements about his finances can’t have helped.)
By itself, Ogles’ downfall is worth celebrating. But it’s also an important data point for the upcoming November midterms. It used to be that, if Donald Trump endorsed a Republican candidate, they were all but guaranteed to win their primary; that was the case with Ed Gallrein, who beat Thomas Massie in Kentucky this May despite claiming that his background in the Navy was “classified” and nobody was allowed to know about it. But even though Ogles got the Trump co-sign, it wasn’t enough to push him over the top—which suggests that, several months into the Iran war and the corresponding cost-of-living crisis, even some Republicans are getting sick of listening to their president. And if Trump’s stock has fallen that much, even in a deep-red state like Tennessee, the Republicans he endorses for November may be in serious trouble too.
If history remembers Andy Ogles at all, it will be in the same light as segregationist Strom Thurmond or Ku Klux Klan leader David Duke, both of whom held elected office: as a sad example of the depths American politics can sink to on its worst days. But as writers Ryan Suto and Heba Mohammad warned in Current Affairs this April, there are plenty more like him who promote “anti-Muslim hate, and racism more broadly” at the highest levels of power. There’s Representative Randy Fine in Florida, who has compared Muslims to dogs and tried to ban the rainbow Pride flag from government buildings, or Senator Tommy Tuberville in Alabama, who has described people on welfare as “inner-city rats.” And then, of course, there’s Donald Trump himself, who opened the door to so much of this rhetoric in 2016. Ogles may be on his way out, but the task of ridding America of the poison he represented will be a long one.