If you’re an ordinary American, war with Iran threatens your safety, your civil rights, and your ability to afford basic necessities. But for the financial elite, it’s just good business.
The risk of nuclear annihilation, in particular, has gotten worse since the outbreak of this war, not better. A lot of Americans don’t realize this, because our media consistently portrays opponents of the U.S. as irrational monsters, but the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had issued a fatwa against the development of nuclear weapons in the mid-1990s. Now, Le Monde reports that we are still “in the dark” about whether his son, Mojtaba Khameini, will choose to remove it. By treacherously attacking in the middle of nuclear negotiations, we’ve just provided Mojtaba with a brutal object lesson that the U.S. cannot be trusted, making future deals much harder to reach—and reports suggest the airstrikes also killed his wife and sister, giving him a powerful reason to want revenge. For other nations, the Trump administration has just demolished a core pillar of international law, setting a precedent that you can just assassinate heads of state if you believe it serves your goals. All around the world, political leaders will take note that it was Khameini—who lacked nuclear weapons—who got killed, like Muammar Gadaffi before him, while Kim Jong Un is sitting safe and secure in Pyongyang with his own missiles. They will, quite reasonably, conclude that they need nukes of their own to deter the U.S. from attacking, leading to a new era of nuclear proliferation. And every new bomb that’s built in a new country will take the whole planet closer to apocalypse.
The environmental toll, too, will be cruel. In Tehran, it rained oil and petrochemical waste after the refineries were bombed on March 8, and health experts are warning of “long-term respiratory and neurological risks” for the people living nearby, in an echo of Vietnam and Agent Orange. On March 11, Reuters reported that “Iranian explosive-laden boats appear to have attacked two fuel tankers in Iraqi waters, setting them ablaze,” while “drones struck oil storage facilities at Salalah port” in Oman with the same effect. When an oil tanker burns in the Persian Gulf, the fumes and the chemical waste spread to everyone in the area, soldier and civilian alike. The missiles and the warships and the jets themselves create vast amounts of pollution, spewing toxic exhaust, spilling fuel and hydraulic fluid, everywhere they go. In fact, the U.S. military is the world’s single largest source of pollution—or, as filmmaker Abby Martin calls it in her new documentary, Earth’s Greatest Enemy. Stoking the fires of war in Iran will only make matters worse, and because we all live on the same planet with the same air, the poison will spread.
In the nearer term, though, the really frightening thing is that Donald Trump has floated escalating his attack further, even to the point of putting American troops in Iran. He says he doesn’t “have the yips with respect to boots on the ground,” a disturbingly cavalier way to talk about invading a country, and the Wall Street Journal has just reported that a unit of “5,000 Marines and sailors” is heading to the Middle East aboard the USS Tripoli. Likewise, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt recently refused to rule out a military draft, saying Trump was keeping “his options on the table.” But if there is a draft, don’t hold your breath expecting to see Barron or Kai Trump on the front lines. Historically, that’s not how war works. The children of the rich always find a way to keep themselves safe, whether it’s George W. Bush spending the Vietnam War years in the Texas Air National Guard or Donald Trump himself with his famous “bone spurs.” It’s the poor and working-class people who get to do all the dying—and last year, Congress took the first steps toward updating the Selective Service system so registration for the draft is no longer voluntary, but automatic and compulsory. So if there’s anyone you care about who’s between the ages of 18 and 25, and especially a young man, you really have a vested interest in not invading Iran.
Our basic civil liberties, too, are at risk. From the past, we know that any time war breaks out overseas, it enables the government to ramp up domestic repression. It happened in the 1910s, when the U.S. government imprisoned and deported people simply for saying they opposed World War I. It happened in the 1940s, when over 120,000 Japanese Americans were forced into internment camps. It happened in the 2000s, when the Bush administration simultaneously invaded the Middle East and waged a security crackdown against Americans, complete with warrantless wiretaps, watch lists, undercover agents in mosques, and the whole apparatus of mass surveillance. More than 25 years later, we still haven’t got back the rights we lost to the PATRIOT Act. More recently, we got a new round of repression after the October 7 attacks, when police forces across the U.S. violently broke up protests against Israel’s genocidal retaliation, and activists like Rumeysa Öztürk and Mahmoud Khalil were summarily abducted and jailed by ICE for nothing but their speech. We already know Trump has issued sweeping national security orders instructing federal agents to go after people for vague political charges like “anti-Americanism.” The First Amendment is hanging by a thread, and now that we’re at war with Iran, there is very little stopping the government from cracking down on you, too.
And it doesn’t help that all of this is taking place in the middle of a brutal cost-of-living crisis, when Americans were already having a hard time paying for basic necessities like fuel, food, and housing. Compared to the deaths of hundreds of Iranians, of course, it can seem crass to even mention financial concerns. And for the wealthy, it doesn’t matter very much that picking a fight with Iran has caused the “largest supply disruption in the history of oil markets,” or that “Gas prices have jumped by nearly 17 percent since Feb. 28, when the United States and Israel first attacked Iran.” For them, the difference between a $20 tank of gas and a $40 one is negligible. But for millions of Americans, it isn’t, and higher prices are going to cause genuine pain. And it won’t stop with oil and gas, because everything else we buy, from groceries to household staples like toilet paper, is shipped to stores on trucks that burn gasoline and diesel fuel. So there’s a direct link between Trump’s decision to bomb Iran, and people having to make hard choices between eating properly and driving to work each week. This is what our leaders call the “defense” of our “national interests,” but only their own interests are being served.
This war is already an unspeakable crime on a human level. We shouldn’t need vested interests of our own to oppose it, because it’s indefensible on its face. Invading other people’s countries and killing their children is wrong; that really shouldn’t have to be said. But those vested interests exist, too. Every day this war drags on, it will make Americans poorer, while enriching the military contractors who live, ticklike, on our paychecks. It will make us less safe, and it will make us less free. But the good news is, most Americans already oppose this war, and there are things we can do to bring it to an end. We can pressure our legislators with phone calls, emails, and surprise appearances at their offices, and demand that they stop the bombing. We can throw our support behind anti-war candidates for office, and punish the current political class at the ballot box. We can organize mass protests, which are already springing up across the United States. The military-industrial establishment relies on ordinary people not realizing the stakes of what’s going on, and not believing they have the ability to do anything about it. It’s high time we corrected them on both counts.
Top photo: Bystanders help an elderly Iranian man after an airstrike on Enghelab Square, Tehran. Photo by Mostafa Tehrani, Tasnim News Agency, licensed under Creative Commons 4.0 International.