Politicians say they have “national security concerns.” In fact, Chinese cars are better and cheaper, and American corporations know they can’t survive market competition.
One problem is that U.S. manufacturers have focused on (deadly, inefficient) large SUVs and trucks, and the average new car now costs around $50,000. Car prices hit a record last year, and American auto loan debt hit a record $1.68 trillion, leaving many Americans with “more and more of their paychecks eaten by their car payments.” There are almost no new cars for sale under $20,000. But Chinese cars can sell new for as little $8,000 in China itself, and China may well be able to offer cars in the U.S. close to $20,000 new—if it’s allowed to compete. That’s why the industry sees Chinese cars as an existential threat: they worry that consumers will prefer them, and so the power of the government must be used to ensure that consumers are forced against their will to buy more expensive, lower-quality cars, in order to prop up the U.S. automotive industry. (They’ll say that’s about Jobs, of course, but it’s also about profits.)
Now, you might think that protecting the domestic car manufacturing industry is worth that cost. But we should be clear that this is what the policy is about. Lawmakers also cite their deep “national security concerns” about allowing Chinese cars into the country. Supposedly Chinese cars will be Trojan horses that steal our data and use it to, I don’t know, tell Xi Jinping how many times you’ve been to Publix this week. But these concerns are bogus—Chinese companies have been clear that they’re willing to abide by any domestic cybersecurity regulations that are put in place, and it would be quite easy to say that if Chinese car companies were gathering and misusing data, they would lose access to the U.S. market. But American policymakers surely know that Chinese cars have entered European markets—countries where data privacy is a much greater concern—without an issue. In fact, around the world, Chinese cars are becoming hugely popular, with one in ten cars sold in Europe now being Chinese. (In Mexico, it’s one in five.) And notably, our policymakers don’t worry about how surveillance tech in cars could enable abuses by our own government.
Automakers and politicians often say that Chinese cars should be banned because China competes “unfairly,” with the government subsidizing its auto industry and allowing it to be more competitive. “China has been cunningly building its automotive market with vast state subsidies,” as an op-ed in the Detroit News put it. (Oh, those “cunning” Chinese!) This is still an admission, of course, that the cars would win out with U.S. consumers if they were permitted a choice, because many Americans would prefer cheap cars to American cars. But it also amounts to saying that China simply does industrial policy better than we do. The U.S. has subsidized its auto industry plenty, and produced the most car-friendly (and pedestrian-hostile) infrastructure imaginable. Our car companies have just failed to keep up with Chinese innovations.
One complaint that is justified is that while many American car companies are unionized, Chinese workers are more exploited, which contributes to the lower cost of cars. But notably, the opponents of Chinese cars are even opposing them being built in the U.S. by American workers. Interestingly, Donald Trump has suggested he’s open to Chinese companies manufacturing cars here, which is part of what triggered a panic among legislators, with Democrats yet again proving that sometimes they can be even more hawkish on China than Trump.
Provided some protections are attached for labor, though, there is no good reason to oppose the entry of Chinese cars into the United States. Economist Noah Smith, who is often terrifyingly militaristic in his writing on China, sees the espionage risk as overstated, and believes that there would in fact be considerable benefits to allowing Chinese cars into the country, since they would force the U.S. auto companies to get more competitive and start trying to offer cars that can win a market competition. The alternative is continuing to make U.S. consumers pay more for cars than they would like to pay, and miss out on all the technological superiority of Chinese cars that European and Mexican consumers benefit from.